LIVE Scenario Packs

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The CMO LIVE Scenarios represent hot spots or potential conflict points in current events. While not a full campaign they are well designed and full fledged scenario with a great deal of depth.

Sahel Slugfest[edit]

The fall of Omar al-Bashir has taken a region that was unstable and made it even more so. To shore up what had become an important client state, China embarks on the largest and longest foreign deployment it has ever conducted. Waves of barely disguised aircraft and troops pour into the country. Across the border, France does the same to its own former colony, Chad.

Dozens of warplanes have been stuffed into barely adequate airbases scattered across barren wilderness. These range from Cold War hand-me-downs to the newest versions of powerful fighters with advanced radars. Nuclear aircraft carriers and submarines prowl the waters to the east. Large ground forces face each other down.

With this mixture of a power vacuum, a military buildup, and an unsteady footing, it’s a question of when and not if it will explode into the largest conventional conflict in sub-Saharan Africa in decades. Both sides believe the other’s position is tenuous enough that a rapid, decisive strike will sweep them out. Are they right?

France-Chad OOB

  • MI-35M HIND
  • E-3F Sentry
  • Rafale B
  • Rafale C
  • Mirage 2000D R2.1
  • EC.655 Tigre HAD
  • Rafale M
  • E-2C Hawkeye
  • MAMBA SAM
  • Crotale SAM
  • NH90
  • Airbus A.330-200 MRTT
  • R91 Charles De Gaulle

Sudan-China OOB

  • MIG-23BN Flogger H
  • Y-20 Kunpeng
  • S-24MK Fencer D
  • Mig-29SE Fulcrum C
  • J-10C Vigorous Dragon
  • KJ-500
  • IL-78M
  • J-16 Flyin Shark
  • Y-8X Cub
  • JH-7B Flounder
  • A-5C Fantan
  • Z-19 Black Whirlwind
  • Type 093B Shang Submarine
  • Type 095 Sui Submarine

Aegean in Flames[edit]

Date: 11 June 2020 Location: East Mediterranean

A few decades ago, during the "1987 crisis" Greece and Turkey came very close to Armed Conflict over disputed drilling zones in the Aegean Sea. Turkish expanding Sea Exploration Activities with Piri Reis and Sismik 1 ships created a provoked tension between the two countries. Greek plans also to nationalize the consortium of companies that was drilling oil off Thasos island and a planned drilling activity 11 miles east of the island, was recognized as illegal and provocative by the Turkish Government. The crisis escalated quickly and military forces of both countries were set on the highest alert level while Political and Military leaders of both countries threatened to use armed force if obstructed by the other.

Broken Shield 300[edit]

Inspired by the most recent geopolitical events, Command: MO LIVE – Broken Shield 300 scenario depicts how the Heyl Ha'Avir (or IAF, Israeli Air Force) would act in case of a military escalation in Syria and its final activation of S-300 missiles batteries to protect Iranian assets.

The King of the Border[edit]

Venezuela, Russia ready to militarily support the South American country against Colombia

As the crisis in Venezuela lurches from bad to worse, the chaos unleashed by the country’s slow collapse is threatening to undermine the stability of the entire region and neighboring Colombia in particular.Colombia is bearing the brunt of the refugee crisis caused by Venezuela’s failing state, and the burden is stretching the country’s limited resources to the point where it may fall into crisis itself.

Kuril Sunrise[edit]

The populist wave that has swept across the world has reached Japan. With a jittery economy and scandals in the previous government on the minds of the public the government that emerges following a set of snap elections is more nationalist and populist than ever. The new prime minister has set his eyes on the long-disputed Kuril Islands, repeatedly claiming them for Tokyo in numerous speeches.

The JGSDF has traditionally been concentrated in Hokkaido already, but airborne and amphibious units have moved there, ostensibly for exercises. The Russians, familiar with that excuse to concentrate forces, have become more suspicious than ever. Not helping the situation is raucous demonstrators on both sides sailing towards either the Kuriles or Hokkaido in small boats. Several have been killed and dozens more detained.

The Russians have been slipping troops in, but an improvised convoy has been readied at Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky to carry much heavier forces to Kunashir and Iturup. Should it reach the islands safely, the Japanese goal of taking them without excessive casualties will be impossible. On the other hand, if it's sunk, the Kuriles are Japan's for the taking. The stakes are thus extremely high.

Due to the (previously) anti-invasion nature of the JSDF and the traditional Soviet/Russian defensive doctrine at sea, both sides have an impressive array of sea denial weapons.

The question is which shall prove superior.

Commonwealth Collision[edit]

India and Pakistan have been in an armed conflict since partition and independence, one that periodically flares into a major war, as it did in 1948, 1965, 1971, and 1999. The continuous sore point is Jammu and Kashmir, with low-intensity conflict having the potential to turn much sharper very quickly.

In early 2018, rocket strikes on Indian Army bases near the Pakistani border increase in intensity, one killing a group of visiting British officers. An unexploded round from the same salvo is examined and found to be a brand-new, advanced rocket, one that rag-tag militants could not possibly have access to. Pakistan’s waffling diplomacy angers the British military and public, and as the subcontinent edges closer to war, London has New Delhi’s back. But Beijing has Islamabad’s as well, with waves of modern Chinese equipment being “purchased” by Pakistan and being crewed by either “Volunteers” or “contractors” that mysteriously “quit” the PLA.

To counter this, the British have, in an effort comparable to the rapid, frenzied preparations that preceded the Falklands War, rushed the brand-new carrier Queen Elizabeth and its air-wing of F-35s into service. The fighter jet has been extremely controversial since the program began, and now it faces its baptism of fire. Likewise, the Indians have been pushing everything that can float into service, including making the unfinished carrier Vikrant capable of basic flight operations.

Last-minute peace negotiations fail, and on June 3, 2018, the subcontinent flares into war yet again. Most of the fighting is along a narrow, grinding front. The Commonwealth armies have adopted a broad front grinding approach, one designed to take advantage of India’s greater population and just as importantly, be less likely to lead to a spooked nuclear launch.

But their navies are going deep, with an improvised task force of three carriers striking strategic targets far beyond the border lines. They face Chinese technology and Pakistani defenders eager to sink the first carriers since World War II. Both sides have “cobbled-together” assets-the carriers and their wings are either brand new or limited, while the defenders can spare very few planes from the front.

The question is which ramshackle strike complex will triumph over the other.

Black Gold Blitz[edit]

As 2017 rolls on, the standoff intensifies yet again. Saudi Arabia’s envoy to Iraq is assassinated, and they immediately blame Iran. Several Iranian journalists in Yemen are then “accidentally” bombed by Saudi aircraft and killed. Aid to militias in Syria increases intensely. The occasional shot is fired between vessels at sea, always being papered over with the excuse of “the crews just weren’t disciplined that day.” The fear of a conflict has prompted the international coalition against ISIL to move its combat aircraft far to the west, so that they won't be caught by surprise.

The final straw comes in the middle of November when an Iranian frigate moves on a straight line into Saudi waters, not responding to warnings. Attacked and sunk with all hands, it nonetheless returns fire and kills several Saudi sailors before going down. Iran insists to this day it had mechanical problems and was butchered to appease a populace still smarting from the ambassador’s murder. The Saudis state that it and its crew deliberately sacrificed themselves to ensure a “Remember the Maine”-style incident to gain popular support for a war. The truth may never be known.

From the moment of the sinking, plans are drawn in Riyadh and Tehran for a direct retaliation against the other nation. The international community, divided and ineffective, can only watch as the largest conventional battle in the Middle East since the 2003 invasion of Iraq is about to begin. The question is no longer if there will be a war or not. It is now when it will start, and who will fire the first shot.

That question will soon be answered. Both sides are coiling up to strike, and both are aiming for the other’s economic heart-the expensive oil infrastructure. And the weapons involved are more powerful and accurate than those in the 1980s Tanker War.

Pole Positions[edit]

The USN has been authorized to conduct a pre-emptive operation to destabilize Russian construction activities and halt the development of the SHELF project. A major constraint is that the operation must not be detected! Therefore only Special Forces and submarine forces will be available for this operation and it must be carried out without the public or Russia discovering whom is responsible.

Russia knows that something is afoot. There have been mixed messages coming out of Washington but it is clear that naval activity in the Arctic is increasing. The priority for Moscow is to get the summer construction program underway and protect its secrecy as much as possible.

Korean Missile Crisis[edit]

The situation on the Korean peninsula is becoming more dangerous month by month. The bellicose statements from the ‘Supreme Leader’ notwithstanding, its North Korea’s foray into the Nuclear weapons arena that has made the situation critical. The Supreme leader of North Korea, Kim Jong-un, in somewhat typical fashion has been making extremely provocative boasts in the lead up to Generalissimo Day, a day which honors his father Kim Jong Il, the 14th of February. The main thrust of these rants is characteristically anti-western but there was a hint of something big that intelligence communities are taking seriously. True to form, both a successful missile launch and a Nuclear test on the same day startled the world.

A few days later, catching most intelligence agencies by surprise, North Korea’s first Ballistic Missile Capable submarine – the Sinpo sortied from the naval base at Mayang-do. All previous sorties have been highly choreographed events involving missile test firing. Satellite imagery produced by the US National Reconnaissance Office (NRO) shows the submarine simply leaving port under the cover of darkness and it has not been seen or detected since. Worrisome as that event is, there is significant evidence that two NK-11 Nodong 2 missiles were removed from the Chungjinsi Nuclear Storage site on 18 February, and the missile launchers for these missiles have not been seen in several weeks.

Under pressure from Japan, South Korea, the Philippines and Australia, the UN Security Council was moved into action. With strong backing from both the US and Russia, and China’s abstention an historic resolution was passed.

The new US President is making the rounds with his own boastful speeches stating that the US will solve the North Korean Problem once and for all. Meanwhile the Russian President is simply stating that North Korea is Russia’s neighbour and Russia will do what is necessary.

The Deadline has now past with no sign of movement or compliance by the North Koreans. Who will act first? Who will succeed?

Don of a New Era[edit]

Tensions in Eastern Ukraine have been on edge since 2013 when trouble started in the Crimean Peninsula resulting in the Annexation of the region by Russia in March of 2014. The Ukrainian separatists' ambitiondid not stop there however, and with the support of Russia the area commonly known as the DonBass (Basin of the lower Don River) erupted into civil war through the summer of 2014. This conflict was backed by Russian Regular Army troops ‘vacationing’ in the region, followed by an intervention by the Russian 76th Guards Air Assault Division and other Russian forces. A cease fire put a temporary halt to the fighting at the end of August 2014 but Russian troop movements and occupation of the DonBass did not end. Separatists in the Donetsk and Lugansk Oblasts continued to receive material and military support from Russia through 2015 and well into 2016. President Putin of Russia calls the area Novorossiya in reference to a 1900’s era region called ‘New Russia’ which stretches along the Black Sea coast to the borders of Moldova and the disputed area of Transnistria.

Moldova is a struggling democratic republic suffering from split demographics, chronic corruption, and a political landscape torn between hard line Communist who sympathise with Russia, and Liberal Democrats who wish to foster ties with the West, all complicated by a significant Ukrainian population. The area of Transnistria rests on the east side of the Dniester River bordering the Ukraine. The population of this small area, which is evenly split between ethnic Moldovans, Russians and Ukrainians has ignited into varies succession movements striving either to become independent, join with the Ukraine or re-join Russia. A cease fire was put in place in July 92 but dissent, negotiation and discontent continue today.

Russia is nothing if not opportunistic. It sees NATO as fragmented and weak, the US embroiled into a bitter election campaign, and the European Union in crisis because of constitutional challenges, and the ongoing Syrian Refugee crisis. Perhaps now is the time to make Novorossiya a reality! What better time than when Americans are busy exercising their democratic freedom – election day 2016.

Road to War!

Spratly Spat[edit]

The People’s Republic of China’s primary foreign policy concerns is energy security and trade. Its industrial might and economic strength continue to multiply requiring significant resources from around the world. The sea lines of communication (SLOC) between China and the Middle East and Africa are the most vital and China has invested heavily in expanding and modernizing its Navy to protect this route denying potential adversaries the ability to influence Chinese policy by cutting these vital lines and rolling back adversaries away from the Chinese mainland.

Recently China has been pursuing a more aggressive policy by challenging its neighbors over the various islands and atolls in the South China Sea. It has shown particular interest in the Spratly Islands and Atolls which while sparse offer a very strategic position to controlling the greater South China Sea. It started its invasion with significant naval patrols and has grown into massive land reclamation projects transforming many deserted atolls into useful island air bases and ports allowing the PRC to dominate the region and have the potential to project power further south.

China’s neighbors have hardly been sitting idle while this take over has slowly occurred. Vietnam, Taiwan, the Philippines, Malaysia and Brunei all have claims within the Spratly’s and have challenged China on the waters and in international court a number of times. Vietnam lost a vicious naval skirmish in 1988 over South Johnson Reef and the Philippines recently won its challenge to PRC territorial claims although the results were ignored. China believes a post World War 2 map depicting a nine-dash line defines its maritime territory almost as far as Indonesia. It now has the military capacity to defend this claim as independently no regional power can challenge them. They are winning the dispute by virtue of being the largest local military power and willing to use it to bully the small nations out of the region.

The United States has been supportive of its regional allies in this dispute but restrained due to massive military commitments in the Middle East, election-year politics and relative uncertainly with its China strategy. It has sent numerous warships including a carrier group on freedom of navigation exercise through the region that while are temporary shows of strength are not sustained which cedes the field to the next greatest power, China. It is an issue that will continue until the United States is able to fully pivot its resources from the Middle East to Asia and one that the regional powers may have to deal with largely on their own.

This scenario is an exploration of what could happen if the regional powers unite and with limited assistance of the US challenge the Chinese Navy. Could a force similar to NATO’s STANAVFORLANT be a good enough deterrent to give the Dragon pause?

You Brexit, You Fix It![edit]

23 August 2016, Europe is reeling politically and economically from the downstream effects of the UK deciding to leave the European Union – the BREXIT. Both the British Pound and the Euro are near collapse and the global stock markets have not yet recovered from the initial shock of the British move. European based companies and stock markets are in disarray as they attempt to negotiate their way out of the new reality which is settling upon the continent after a very tumultuous summer.

Weeks after the British vote, France, Denmark and Italy initiated their own referendums to proceed with an ‘Article 50’ departure from the EU. Greece, still tottering economically and staggering under the pressure of hundreds of thousands of refugees streaming in from across the Mediterranean has been forced into yet another election campaign. Portugal and Spain have seen the small economic gains they have made in the past few years washed away in the monetary disaster which is hitting them very hard. Eastern European countries are becoming more ‘hard line’ in response to refugees and asking the EU government in Brussels some very tough questions vis-à-vis the costs and benefits of the union.

Both the Scottish National party, which is in the process of organizing a 2nd referendum to leave the UK, and the Basque Separatists in Spain are now leading the few remaining Euro advocates. Even Turkey has stopped asking to be part of the EU for the first time in decades.

Meanwhile the US is going through one of the most divisive and violent election campaigns in history, with dozens if not hundreds of protesters arrested at every political event and where the number of politically motivated killings is shocking both the world and the domestic political establishment.

Through this turmoil, NATO decision makers have struggled with a patchwork of collective defence initiatives in the Baltic and Ukraine. As reinforcement to the standing ‘Baltic Air Policing’ operation and training missions in the Baltic countries and Ukraine; a multi-national Brigade, led by four nations and consisting of troops from 5 others, spread across four countries (Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia & Poland) is touted as the solution. Although judged anemic by most experts, placing American, British, German and Canadian troops in the Baltics displays a commitment to the region that if Russia were to attack is would be attacking the whole alliance not just the local forces.

The turbulence is not missed by Russia. With NATO destabilized politically, the whole idea of a cohesive command structure with an ability to react rapidly is in question. The Baltic States (Latvia, Lithuania, and Estonia) have long been a thorn in the side of the Russian Federation: Ethnically they have large Russian populations; strategically they isolate the key to Baltic defence, Kaliningrad; politically they should never have been allowed to slip into NATO’s sphere of influence. Perhaps now is an ideal opportunity to right the wrongs of the past and exert newfound strength where and when NATO is at its weakest. If the Baltic States can be taken in a short 1-2 day campaign without tipping the world into another global conflict, NATO may never recover. A short window of opportunity exists before the Multi-National Brigade deploys, if only a few aircraft are engaged and no NATO ground troops, it is much easier to de-escalate.

Old Grudges Never Die[edit]

The Syrian Civil War started with the Arab Spring in early 2011 but has only become more and more complex since then.With international tensions high, and so many players maneuvering in a very small space, it is amazing that the conflict has not overflowed into a general regional or even global war.

The two most likely protagonists in any escalation are Russia and Turkey, countries with many long standing differences of opinion and grudges against each other. In this scenario you play either Russia or Turkey as you attempt to maintain national honour and pride while keeping any hostilities limited. Complicating your efforts are US, Coalition, Syrian, ISIS and Rebel forces. Winning is not always a matter of causing casualties.